The tournament started yesterday with two trappy looking matches, we chose not to make any predictions or betting tips as value bets looked few and far between.
Noteworthy is the fact that reigning champion Mark Allen fell at the first hurdle against Luca Brecel. The game was of a high standard with plenty of big breaks, the pick of the bunch being the Belgian’s 140. He dug deep and a break of 58 off a good, long red in the 11th frame proved decisive.
Today at 1pm, Ronnie O’Sullivan is a short price to beat Stuart Bingham. Best odds of 2/7 with Coral are about right and we can’t see any particular value in the sub-markets.
A more interesting and certainly more balanced betting market is the Ding Junhui v Jack Lisowski one. That match starts at 7pm tonight and it’s industry best prices of 10/11 Ding, 11/10 Jack.
This season China’s Ding hasn’t really fired. It’s been unimpressive by his usual high standards. With just the one final made so far being the 6 Reds tournament back in September. He lost 8-4 to Kyren Wilson and since that point has failed to make an impression.
Lisowski on the flip-side has been in great nick both this current season and last. He’s managed to climb into the top 16 and reach his first Masters. Quite the achievement for the player ranked down at 53 less than 4 years ago and being talked about as a ”could-have-been”.
It’s true his discipline off the table wasn’t the best in his early 20’s but that naturally seems to have improved with time. Results have followed with semi-final appearances at the International Championship and Riga Masters. Consistently going deep in tournaments he also has a handful of quarter final appearances to his name.
He was looking particularly good in the UK Championship but met an imperious Ronnie in the last 16 and probably let the occasion get the better of him. It’s unlikely he will see this match in a similar light. He has been starting matches well this season and we are going to bet that he can do the same here.
How we placed our bet
What’s the market?
First 4 Frames Score
3-1 > 0.5pt
4-0 > 0.1pt