Both teams can consider themselves to be at matching expectations this season. Wolves were expected to survive but are probably doing ever better than people expected. With their finely assembled team and impressive young coach, they are a good chance in the W/O Big 6 market.
Newcastle were expected to struggle and were among the favourites for the drop earlier in the season. They aren’t out of the woods by any stretch but Rafa Benitez has gotten very important results and the team are currently just out of the relegation places.
The home side go into this as solid favourites at an industry best 17/20 with Betfair Sportsbook. They’ve actually been beaten 5 times at home in 13 games which has them ranked 9th in home points gained rather than 6th in their away performances.
Newcastle keep things tight on the road generally speaking with 15 goals conceded in 12 away games. To put perspective on it, that’s better than any team in the bottom half of the table. It’s also only 1 goal worse than Wolves’ defence away from home.
The above stats are important and combined with the fact that Rafa will see a point here as a good result. We could see the bus parked to an extent, Wolves as good as they are have struggled at times to beat lesser opposition with that gameplan. They’ve already lost to Palace and Huddersfield who went there and sat deep to counter.
This leads us to believe the goals will be hard to come by and if Newcastle may be able to get something from the game.
How we placed our bet
What time/date is the match?
8pm on Monday 11th Feb
What are betting markets?
Under 2.5 Goals
Newcastle +0.5 Asian Handicap
What stakes for the bets?
Under 2.5 > 1.5pts
+0.5 AH > 1.5pts
Is the match available on TV/Sat in the UK?
Yes, it will be shown live on SkySports.
Published on: Feb 11, 2019 @ 09:42