Only six players can make finals night now with Michael Smith and Peter Wright failing to get the results they needed last week to remain in contention. Happily for us we got the result we needed with Daryl Gurney comfortable beating Michael van Gerwen to bring home our 6/1 tip. Rob Cross is top of the table with MVG a close second. They are still heavy favourites to qualify with only 2 points separating the other four with two nights to go.
Michael Smith v James Wade
Mensur Suljovic v Rob Cross
Daryl Gurney v Gerwyn Price
Michael van Gerwen v Peter Wright
The match we’re going to focus on this week is the headliner, Michael van Gerwen v Peter Wright. Historically Wright has really struggled versus MVG with an overall win rate of only 20%. It took a long time for the Scotsman to lay a glove on the green machine but over the past couple of years things have evened up considerably.
The 7-1 defeat to MVG in this Premier League is very much an anomaly considering that Wright beat the Dutchman in both ties last year. On top of that Wright earned another win in the semi-finals of the Champions League of Darts in September. The fear factor that was there, not just for Wright but for almost everyone, is dissipating.
Only last weekend the pair met again with van Gerwen edging things 6-5. Missed doubles continue to blight the Dutchman’s performances although he pushed through and ultimately took the title. He did threaten to demolish Wright surging to a 3-0 lead but Snakebite pulled it back to 5-5 before losing the decider. There is no decider in the Premier League and that, along with Wright demonstrating his battling ability, could prove important.
Wright has also recently beaten a returning Gary Anderson 6-0 so it’s clear that the class is still there, he just needs to tap into it. The freedom he will have now that he cannot qualify should help with that. Without pressure from relegation in football Fulham suddenly went on a three match winning streak without conceding a goal. The pressure in this tie is all on MVG, partly to confirm that he makes the top four, but primarily to keep up his record of topping the table.
We’ll be in profit for the Premier League whatever happens now but this is a chance to further punish the bookies by backing Wright at a generally available 5/1 on the draw no bet market.
How we placed our bet
Event: Premier League Darts
Betting Market: Draw No Bet
Selection: Peter Wright
Published on: May 9, 2019 @ 07:06