The washout in Paris on Wednesday means one half of the men’s draw is going to become somewhat concertinaed over the next few days.
The other half sees a huge match-up between Federer and Nadal following the completion of their matches on Tuesday. For Thiem, Khachanov, Djokovic and Zverev things are going to get a little more hectic as a result of their ties being carried over to today (Thursday). We’ve already backed Zverev to beat Djokovic which you can read here and we’re now going to look at the other quarter-final.
Dominic Thiem faces Khachanov with Thiem ranked fourth and his opponent eleventh. They’ve met only once with Khachanov gaining the win albeit on a hard court in a best of three sets match last year. Thiem is the top five player of the two for a reason though having beaten Rafa and Roger on clay this year and only losing to Novak via two tie break sets in Madrid. Khachanov did get the better of Del Potro in the last round but wear and tear seemed to take its toll on the Argentine in the end.
Thiem’s scheduling has been questioned in the past as in previous years he’s barely taken a break from the tour, playing week in week out rather than picking and choosing which tournaments to play. It’s safe to say that putting those miles into his legs early has paid off now and it would be hard to argue against him being one of the fittest players around with bags of stamina. Assuming he progresses he’s also got years on Nadal, Federer and Djokovic which may prove important given how the weather has affected things.
Should Djokovic lose as we hope Thiem has a 5-2 record against Zverev, including a comfortable win in last years’ French open quarter-final. If he takes on Djokovic he is 6-2 down but he’s won 2 of the last three with the odd one being over two tie breaks as mentioned earlier. The other two were both on clay, the first seeing Thiem eliminate Djokovic from Roland Garros in 2017. Thiem has the head to head edge over Federer and the clay win against Nadal in the bank this year so he’s a very lively candidate for the tournament as a whole.
Fortunately the odds makers are loathe to offer any reasonable prices for Nadal or Djokovic because that’s where the bulk of the money will be going. This means that Thiem is a tasty 11/1 for the title which he almost certainly has the talent for and most definitely has the fitness for. We’ll take that price with potentially a view to cashing out later on if necessary.
How we placed our bet
Tournament: French Open Tennis
Betting Market: Outright
Selection: Dominic Thiem
Published on: Jun 6, 2019 @ 04:30