Group C finishes today with a potentially eye-catching clash between Italy and Brazil while Australia hope to pile more misery onto lowly Jamaica. Italy are 1/5 to top the group after two wins but Brazil and Australia will have something to say about that.
Italy are top on 6 points while Brazil beat Jamaica and Australia beat Brazil to earn 3 points apiece. Jamaica sit on 0 points with a -8 but goal difference but could still make it out of the group with an unlikely hammering of the Matildas and results in other groups going their way.
Today we’re going to take a punt on Australia topping the group at 8/1. The first requirement for this to happen is a resounding Australian victory over Jamaica. The Matildas have just lost and just won close encounters with the other teams in the group who both beat Jamaica comfortably. This ought to be a given and would put them on 6 points with a decent goal difference. The second requirement is for Brazil to beat Italy.
Italy are already through having won both games so far so it would make sense for them to rest some key players or those with any strains or injuries. This game also gives them the chance to allow some squad players a chance before the serious business of the knockout stages next week.
Brazil need to win the game and are favourites to do so, especially if the Italians do rotate the squad. Finishing 3rd in the group is not an option as it would likely bring about a game with Germany or France rather than Norway or a 3rd placed team from another group. A one or two goal Brazilian victory would even up the goal difference between the top 3 sides and If Australia play their part they can top the group that way or even by goals scored.
How we placed our bet
Event: Women’s World Cup – Group C
Betting Market: Group Winner
Bookie: Sport Nation
Published on: Jun 18, 2019 @ 07:24