Wimbledon is upon us with two conflicting markets for the men’s and women’s draws. Novak Djokovic is the strong favourite in his draw but the women’s market is much more open. This makes sense given that in the last ten years Djokovic, Nadal and Federer have carved up the bulk of the Grand Slams between them with the occasional interloper like Murray or Wawrinka. Conversely the last ten women’s Grand Slams alone have seen nine different winners with only Naomi Osaka doubling up in that time.
Djokovic probably should be favourite but at odds of around 6/4 he’s not really backable and Federer certainly isn’t at 10/3. Nadal is more interesting at around 7/1 but he last won Wimbledon in 2010 so it would be hard to back him on that basis. There is also a cluster of young talent dotted around the draw – players like Stefanos Tsitsipas and Felix Auger Aliassime who could be spoilers to some of these established names. We’re therefore going to look for a higher priced player who can hopefully go on a big run.
The grass courts favour the tall, big servers and the last 3 finals in the men’s tournament have seen CIlic, Raonic and Kevin Anderson get there off the back of that ability. For the women, players like Muguruza, Kvitova and Venus Williams are all six footers who’ve made multiple finals and won the tournament in recent years. Guile is needed of course but at Wimbledon power counts for a lot.
For the men we’re going to go for one of the most powerful men on the tour, Reilly Opelka who we’ve mentioned before. We’re not saying he’s going to win but he could well give us cash out opportunities later in the day. He’s capable of hitting 40 aces in a match with hardly any double faults thrown in. He’s 6 ft 11, a former winner at Wimbledon as a junior and is only 21 years old. The rest of his game doesn’t yet match his serve but there’s plenty of time for that to happen. For now we’re just looking for a decent run with the hope of more. We’ve requested 1000/1 on Matchbook so the stakes will be small in accordance with that.
Where the women are concerned it can’t be denied that Karolina Pliskova is one of the best players around, capable of beating anyone and the newly crowned Eastbourne champ having beaten last year’s winner Angelique Kerber. She is second in the betting and too short for our liking at 6/1 so it is her twin sister Kristyna who we’ll be looking at.
As an identical twin she obviously shares the same physique as her sister but hasn’t seemed to have the same mental strength thus far to take her to a major title. She’s playing well right now though and leads the head to head record against Karolina, beating her recently on grass too. As we would like her serve is a huge weapon and she set the record for most aces in a match with 31 at the Australian Open in 2016. If she can beat Karolina then she too could beat anyone so we’re taking the 1000/1 on her with Betfred.
How we placed our bet
Published on: Jul 1, 2019 @ 06:44