Some big names have gone and there have been quite a few wobbles too over the tournament so far. Most pleasing for us was seeing our 1000/1 outright pick Reilly Opelka come through his first test in beating Stan Wawrinka on Tuesday. Unfortunately Kristyna Pliskova couldn’t do the same against Kaja Juvan on Monday. We would have liked to see her take on a rusty Serena Williams today but sadly it was not to be.
The tie of the day, and potentially of the fortnight, sees Nick Kyrgios take on Rafael Nadal. The head to head record is three wins each with Kyrgios winning their first ever meeting, in the Wimbledon 4th round 5 years ago. Nadal was probably at his peak then and Kyrgios was ranked just 144 in the world. It was expected that the Australian, who has great head to head records with most of the big boys, would go on to dominate but that has not happened.
The reason for that is because he’s a bit of a nutter to be frank. He doesn’t like having a coach and doesn’t enjoy training particularly. He does enjoy antagonising people and taking the mickey though. He’s supremely gifted and extremely entertaining but mystifying at the same time. He’s quite capable of beating Nadal and if the match was purely about talent we’d be all over the 3/1 available, if it even is still available. We just can’t ever be sure what frame of mind he’ll be in on any given day.
Nadal is someone we’d normally be looking to take on at Wimbledon. Yes, he is the French Open champion yet again but that doesn’t translate to success on grass. He’s only won here twice, the last time in 2010 with his last final the year after. In the first round he lost the first eleven points, going 2-0 down and love-forty in his second service game. He has been chopping and changing his service action of late and it’s something Kyrgios will certainly pounce upon if it becomes an issue.
Given the unknowns surrounding the Aussie we can’t back him to win at those odds but we still think he can make a mark his mark in the match. In the last round he effectively took the fourth set off so he could have a breather, losing it 6-0 before destroying Jordan Thompson 6-1 in the decider. That kind of behaviour as well as throwing in unnecessary trick shots and occasionally kicking off with whoever’s closest make him both infuriating and a pleasure to watch at the same time.
Given Nadal’s slow start and the fact that Kyrgios may be lacking stamina AND had to play five sets as opposed to Nadal’s three we’re looking to bet with William Hill today. They are offering 19/5 on Nadal losing the first set to Kyrgios but winning the match and that outcome seems well within the bounds of possibility.
How we placed our bet
Tournament: Wimbledon Tennis – Kyrgios v Nadal
Betting Market: Lose Set 1 & Win
Selection: Rafael Nadal
Bookie: William Hill
Published on: Jul 4, 2019 @ 07:01