Halep duly obliged us yesterday, wiping the floor with Serena Williams, but Novak Djokovic against Roger Federer seems unlikely to be as one-sided. Djokovic edges the head-to-head, 25 against 22 and 9 versus 6 in Grand Slams. In fact Federer hasn’t beaten Djokovic in a Grand Slam for seven years but they’ve barely played since Roger’s successful comeback from injury in 2017.
Both players had four set matches on Friday and we can see the same happening today. When Djokovic starts having tantrums you know he’s there for the taking and when he’s under pressure he takes more and more bounces when he’s about to serve. There was an element of that on Friday and Bautista-Agut really got to him at times. There was a crucial stage in the 3rd set where the Serb had to battle really hard to keep his Spanish opponent at bay. He did so and from there went on to win the match but of course he’ll have even more to worry about from Roger Federer.
Federer of course will face just as many problems as he can present to Djokovic He’s facing the world number one, the defending champion and the only player other than Nadal to have a meaningful lead over him head-to-head. History is against him too – only Stan Wawrinka has beaten both Nadal and Djokovic in the same event. That doesn’t mean it can’t be done though, Djokovic is his nemesis but if he can get the Serb bouncing that ball a few extra times it wouldn’t hurt his cause. That kind of thing comes more naturally to someone like Nick Kyrgios but a 21st Grand Slam is at stake and this might turn out to be his last final at this level.
A complete shut-out to either man would be a surprise given the absurd level of talent on display this afternoon so we don’t fancy a straight-sets victory. Five sets is of course possible but it seems more likely that there will be some feeling out in the first half of the match with maybe a set apiece followed by one player asserting themselves and closing out the match. Djokovic is the favourite but Federer is an even better player now than he was when they met in 2012.
How we placed our bet
Tournament: Wimbledon Tennis
Betting Market: Total Sets
Bookie: William Hill
Published on: Jul 14, 2019 @ 07:18