It’s fair to say that Venus Williams has not had the best year. Like Serena she’s played sparingly which is understandable to an extent but leaves her lacking edge and momentum going into tournaments. One of her best forays into events so far came in part thanks to Serena withdrawing and giving her a walkover in one tournament.
We won’t harp on about her age or her autoimmune problems but obviously neither really help her and of late she’s been finding first round knockouts more commonplace than at any time in her career. She’s a dogged competitor still and puts her all into getting the first set in the bag, and more often than not does, whatever the cost. The payback is that if her opponent doesn’t wilt at one set down then she struggles to thwart the comeback.
Occasionally she will get the better of a top name, like when she beat Petra Kvitova at Indian Wells, but against players like Halep, Kerber or Barty she will end up on the losing side. Just last week she was defeated after taking the first set by Bethanie Mattek-Sands, predominantly a distinguished doubles player, who was ranked in the 600s in singles having not played since the Australian Open. Mattek-Sands went on to lose in the next round to Carla Suarez-Navarro who takes on Venus today.
Suarez-Navarro is quite a pest to the more Amazonian ladies on the tour. Her smaller stature means she is quicker around the court and more able to get to the ball than some. Sure she can be overpowered by her taller, more powerful opponents but she’s a terrier around the court and could drive her American opponent to distraction. She’s more likely to have the competitive edge and energy of the two so we think she can beat Venus today.
As it stands the match looks correctly priced with Suarez-Navarro a slight favourite. We’ll therefore forgo the 4/5 and back in-play in order to maximise our odds if the first set goes to Venus. As mentioned above she will throw the kitchen sink down at the start and quite possibly go a set ahead but that didn’t help her last week and may not help her this time either. BT have the coverage but if they don’t show this match we’ll favourite it on Livescore instead so that we know when to strike.
How we placed our bet
Tournament: WTA Toronto
Betting Market: Match Odds – In play
Selection: Carla Suarez-Navarro
Published on: Aug 6, 2019 @ 05:57