Amazon Prime proves to be worth something these next two weeks as it owns the rights to the US Open tennis coverage. The hours are pretty friendly for UK audiences with start times around 4PM but the big matches will be after midnight for US peak time.
The women’s draw is one of the hardest to predict in recent times. There is no dominant force and convincing cases can be made for and then against a dozen or more of the contenders. Serena Williams does not merit favourite status and given the right opportunity we’ll oppose her but the same can be said of a number of the leading contenders who could well fall at big prices. Williams meeting Sharapova should be a good and noisy match to watch in the first round and while we’ll get involved in some of the individual matches an outright pick is too hard to justify.
For the men things seem a little more straightforward from a betting point of view. We’re still waiting for the old guard to be dethroned and there are promising signs from some quarters. We’re going in the middle of the old and the new though in backing 25 year old Dominic Thiem. He did withdraw from Cincinnati with a virus and has said he will take things one match at a time but we think he’s still worth a look with odds of 33/1 available. He’s been practising with Roger Federer lately and has a favourable opener which will hopefully allow him to get back up to speed.
Thiem is a player who has beaten Djokovic, Federer and Nadal this year and could end up playing any of those at some point over the fortnight. He actually leads head to head against Federer but while behind overall against the other two he still has multiple wins against them. He is in Nadal’s half of the draw and is the only player who seems able to trouble him on clay, beating him in Barcelona before losing to him in four sets at the French Open. They also met in last year’s US Open where Thiem won the first set 6-0 before being just squeezed out in a final set tie break. With any luck the 2019 Indian Wells winner can put that right on the way to the title in New York.
How we placed our bet
Tournament: US Open Tennis
Betting Market: Outright
Selection: Dominic Thiem
Bookie: William Hill
Stake: 0.5pt Each-way
Published on: Aug 26, 2019 @ 07:51