Today’s Prediction of the Day from the Green Room comes in the Champions League match between Napoli and Barcelona.
20:00 Tuesday 25th Feb 2020
We are at the last 16 stage of the Champions league and the first leg match between 6th in Serie A and 1st in La Liga.
Barca are the correct favourites here but the betting should be much closer.
They may be top of the table in Spain but when looking solely at away results they are 4th with a 5-3-4 record.
Napoli have disappointed in general domestically this season but managed to get through their 3 home CL group games unbeaten. That included a 1-0 win over current Champions Liverpool.
There is no reason to expect Barcelona to be a better proposition than The Reds were and so we have a basis for believing Napoli can get a result.
The fact that both coaches would ultimately settle for a draw is another advantage here for us and with a 2nd leg to play there is less reason for either team to play without caution initially.
When we ran simulations based upon strength ratings we use, the following percentages were produced for likelihood of result.
- Napoli win = 21.4%
- Draw = 31.1%
- Barcelona = 47.5%
The odds offered on the draw at 5/2 – 3.5 is the bet with the greatest value attached to it. That makes it our play of the day.
All Bets of the Day tips are to carry a 3pt stake. That is the maximum stake suggested on site, it should represent 3% of your betting bank.
Our Napoli v Barcelona bet
Bet of the Day
5/2 – 3.50
Published on: Feb 25, 2020 at 14:54